Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 31, 2021 at 12pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
2 - 0
Burnley

Azpilicueta (40'), Alonso (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Westwood (60')

Reaction

Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel pictured on January 27, 2021

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 72.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 9.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.8%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Burnley
72.57%	17.72%	9.7%

Both teams to score 42.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.91%

46.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.61%

68.39%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.73%

11.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.13%

35.87%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.95%

52.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.97%

86.03%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 72.56%

Burnley 9.7%

Draw 17.72%

Chelsea	Draw	Burnley
2-0 @ 13.97% 1-0 @ 12.8% 3-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 6.64% 4-0 @ 5.55% 4-1 @ 3.63% 5-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.31% Total : 72.56%	1-1 @ 8.36% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 2.98% Other @ 0.52% Total : 17.72%	0-1 @ 3.83% 1-2 @ 2.73% 0-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.89% Total : 9.7%