Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Jan 12, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 1
Man Utd

Westwood (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pogba (71')
Shaw (32'), Fernandes (45+3')

Reaction

Paul Pogba celebrates scoring for Manchester United against Burnley in the Premier League on January 12, 2021

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United head to Anfield on Sunday boasting a three-point cushion over rivals Liverpool.

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Manchester United manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer pictured on January 9, 2021

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Manchester United beat Burnley 1-0 to return to the top of the Premier League for the first time in over three years.

Jan 12, 23:52

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.24%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Manchester United
14.09%	19.83%	66.09%

Both teams to score 49.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.81%

44.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.43%

66.57%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.77%

43.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.51%

79.49%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5%

12.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.5%

38.5%

Score Analysis

Burnley 14.09%

Manchester United 66.08%

Draw 19.83%

Burnley	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 4.53% 2-1 @ 3.95% 2-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.15% 3-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.09%	1-1 @ 9.43% 0-0 @ 5.41% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.89% Total : 19.83%	0-2 @ 11.68% 0-1 @ 11.24% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 6.79% 0-4 @ 4.21% 1-4 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-5 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.19% Total : 66.08%