Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Dec 5, 2020 at 12.30pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 1
Everton

Brady (3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Calvert-Lewin (45+3')

Reaction

Burnley manager Sean Dyche pictured in November 2020

Sean Dyche: 'We are getting stronger'

Burnley have collected six points from their opening 10 fixtures.

Dec 6, 12:15

Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on November22, 2020

Carlo Ancelotti: 'England lucky to have Jordan Pickford and Nick Pope'

Both keepers starred in Burnley's 1-1 draw with Everton at Turf Moor.

Dec 5, 16:38

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Everton
21.22%	24.75%	54.03%

Both teams to score 48.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.76%

53.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.2%

74.8%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.06%

39.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.41%

76.59%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34%

19.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.36%

51.64%

Score Analysis

Burnley 21.22%

Everton 54.02%

Draw 24.74%

Burnley	Draw	Everton
1-0 @ 7.21% 2-1 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 3.31% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.34% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.22%	1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 12.77% 0-2 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 5.17% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 2.1% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.81% Total : 54.02%