Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Burnley |
| 49.52% | 25.63% | 24.84% |
| Both teams to score 49.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.68% | 53.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.14% | 74.86% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.45% | 21.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.37% | 54.62% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% | 36.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.68% | 73.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 9.27% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.52% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 7.93% 1-2 @ 6.13% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.82% Total : 24.84% |