Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 60.48% | 21.42% | 18.1% |
| Both teams to score 53.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% | 43.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% | 66.06% |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86% | 14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.48% | 41.52% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.23% | 37.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.46% | 74.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 6.52% 4-0 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-2 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.9% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 10.12% 0-0 @ 5.29% 2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.41% | 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-2 @ 4.93% 0-2 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.35% Total : 18.1% |