Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 10

Nov 30, 2020 at 8pm UK

London Stadium

West Ham
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Ogbonna (2'), Bowen (46')
Fornals (53')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Grealish (25')
Cash (67')

Reaction

Aston Villa manager Dean Smith pictured on November 8, 2020

Dean Smith upset after Aston Villa denied late penalty in West Ham defeat

Goals from Angelo Ogbonna and Jarrod Bowen gave the Hammers a 2-1 victory.

Dec 1, 00:00

The Match

Match Report

Ollie Watkins missed a penalty and had a late goal disallowed.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Aston Villa
41.04%	26.65%	32.31%

Both teams to score 51.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.52%

53.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25%

75%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33%

25.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42%

60.58%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.13%

30.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.84%

67.16%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 41.04%

Aston Villa 32.31%

Draw 26.64%

West Ham United	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.04%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 1% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.31%