Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Jan 3, 2021 at 4.30pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 3
Man City

Hudson-Odoi (90+2')
Pulisic (45+1'), Kante (53'), Kovacic (71')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Gundogan (18'), Foden (21'), De Bruyne (34')
Silva (90')

Reaction

Chelsea manager Frank Lampard pictured on January 3, 2021

Frank Lampard: "Any build or rebuild takes pain"

The Blues have suffered four defeats in their last six league matches.

Jan 3, 21:32

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Manchester City
28.14%	24.6%	47.26%

Both teams to score 55.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.24%

46.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.98%

69.02%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62%

30.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42%

66.58%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.14%

19.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.03%

51.97%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 28.14%

Manchester City 47.26%

Draw 24.6%

Chelsea	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 7.19% 2-1 @ 6.92% 2-0 @ 4.28% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.14%	1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 5.06% 0-3 @ 4.25% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.93% Total : 47.26%