Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Aston Villa |
49.98% | 24.02% | 26% |
Both teams to score 55.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.25% | 45.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.93% | 68.07% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.64% | 18.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.52% | 49.48% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% | 31.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.13% | 67.87% |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.42% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.77% Total : 26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 75 | 32 | 43 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 36 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 88 | -57 | 16 |
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