Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 30, 2021 at 8pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
0 - 1
Aston Villa

Ward-Prowse (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Barkley (41')

Reaction

Ross Barkley in action for Aston Villa on November 21, 2020

Ross Barkley 'feeling more like himself' after injury issues

The Chelsea loanee struck for the first time since October having struggled with injuries.

Jan 31, 12:15

Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl pictured on January 4, 2021

Ralph Hasenhuttl: 'Matty Cash made a fantastic save'

The ball appeared to strike Aston Villa defender Matty Cash's hand in the box, but no penalty was given.

Jan 30, 23:40

The Match

Match Report

Saints had both a penalty shout inside the opening period and a stoppage-time offside decision go against them.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Aston Villa
36.34%	26%	37.66%

Both teams to score 54.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.83%

50.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.87%

72.13%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27%

26.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38%

62%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02%

25.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39%

61%

Score Analysis

Southampton 36.34%

Aston Villa 37.66%

Draw 26%

Southampton	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.16% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.15% Total : 36.34%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.66%