Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Jan 4, 2021 at 8pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 0
Liverpool

Ings (2')
Bertrand (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alcantara (3'), Robertson (15'), Shaqiri (79')

Reaction

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp pictured on January 4, 2021

Jurgen Klopp claims Liverpool were denied "clear penalty" in Southampton loss

Danny Ings put a dent in his former club's title aspirations when he lobbed goalkeeper Alisson to give Saints the win.

Jan 4, 23:58

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Liverpool
17.49%	20.46%	62.06%

Both teams to score 55.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.65%

40.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.27%

62.73%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.51%

36.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73%

73.27%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.52%

12.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.54%

38.46%

Score Analysis

Southampton 17.49%

Liverpool 62.06%

Draw 20.46%

Southampton	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 4.82% 1-0 @ 4.59% 2-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.68% 3-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.49%	1-1 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 5.01% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.46%	1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.86% 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-3 @ 6.9% 0-3 @ 6.84% 1-4 @ 3.59% 0-4 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 3.48% 2-4 @ 1.81% 1-5 @ 1.49% 0-5 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.64% Total : 62.06%