Premier League
Gameweek
1
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Bernardo Silva
79'
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Ilkay Gundogan
90'
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John McGinn
67'
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Dean Smith
81'
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Dean Smith
81'
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Neil Taylor
86'
Manchester City vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
Result
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.02%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 8.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City in this match.
Result
Manchester City
78.02%
Draw
13.43%
Aston Villa
8.55%
Both Teams to Score:
54.18%
Goals
Over 2.5
71.23%
Under 2.5
28.77%
Over 3.5
50.3%
Under 3.5
49.7%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
94.1%
Under 0.5
5.9%
Over 1.5
77.39%
Under 1.5
22.61%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
57.57%
Under 0.5
42.43%
Over 1.5
21.2%
Under 1.5
78.8%
Score analysis
Manchester City
78.02%
Draw
13.43%
Aston Villa
8.55%
Manchester City
2-0
@
10.03%
3-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 8.12%
1-0 @ 7.09%
4-0 @ 6.7%
4-1 @ 5.74%
5-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.48%
5-1 @ 3.25%
4-2 @ 2.46%
6-0 @ 1.79%
6-1 @ 1.53%
5-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 78.02%
3-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 8.12%
1-0 @ 7.09%
4-0 @ 6.7%
4-1 @ 5.74%
5-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.48%
5-1 @ 3.25%
4-2 @ 2.46%
6-0 @ 1.79%
6-1 @ 1.53%
5-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 78.02%
Draw
1-1
@
6.08%
2-2 @ 3.69%
0-0 @ 2.5%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 13.43%
2-2 @ 3.69%
0-0 @ 2.5%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 13.43%
Aston Villa
1-2
@
2.61%
0-1 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 8.55%
0-1 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 8.55%
Head to Head
EFL Cup
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Mbwana Samatta
41'
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Ahmed Elmohamady
68'
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Marvelous Nakamba
72'
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Tyrone Mings
90'
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Sergio Aguero
20'
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Rodri
30'
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Raheem Sterling
57'
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Rodri
60'
Premier League
Gameweek
22
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Anwar El Ghazi
53'
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Jack Grealish
80'
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Anwar El Ghazi
90'
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Riyad Mahrez
18'
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Riyad Mahrez
24'
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Sergio Aguero
28'
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Gabriel Jesus
45'
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Fernandinho
50'
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Sergio Aguero
57'
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Sergio Aguero
81'
Premier League
Gameweek
10
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Raheem Sterling
46'
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Fernandinho
57'
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David Silva
65'
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Ilkay Gundogan
70'
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Ilkay Gundogan
81'
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Fernandinho
87'
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Jack Grealish
36'
Premier League
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Yaya Toure
48'
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Sergio Aguero
50'
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Sergio Aguero
60'
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Raheem Sterling
66'
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Jordan Veretout
45'
FA Cup
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Leandro Bacuna
27'
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Ashley Westwood
45'
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Kelechi Iheanacho
4'
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Kelechi Iheanacho
24'
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Raheem Sterling
27'
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Pablo Zabaleta
69'
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Kelechi Iheanacho
74'
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Raheem Sterling
75'
Premier League
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Brad Guzan
92'
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Nicolas Otamendi
39'
Form Data
Build-up
News
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