Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Jan 17, 2021 at 7.15pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
4 - 0
Crystal Palace

Stones (26', 68'), Gundogan (56'), Sterling (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Manchester City's John Stones celebrates scoring against Crystal Palace in the Premier League on January 17, 2021

Pep Guardiola: 'John Stones deserves huge praise'

The defender scored his first Premier League goals for City in their 4-0 win over Crystal Palace on Sunday.

Jan 17, 23:09

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 85.02%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 4.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 4-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Crystal Palace
85.02%	10.17%	4.8%

Both teams to score 45.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.68%

28.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.85%

49.15%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.38%

4.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.17%

18.83%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.25%

52.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.51%

86.49%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 85.02%

Crystal Palace 4.8%

Draw 10.18%

Manchester City	Draw	Crystal Palace
3-0 @ 11.82% 2-0 @ 11.53% 4-0 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 7.56% 1-0 @ 7.5% 2-1 @ 7.38% 4-1 @ 5.82% 5-0 @ 5.59% 5-1 @ 3.58% 6-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.86% 6-1 @ 1.83% 7-0 @ 1.26% 5-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.78% Total : 85.02%	1-1 @ 4.8% 0-0 @ 2.44% 2-2 @ 2.36% Other @ 0.58% Total : 10.18%	0-1 @ 1.56% 1-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.71% Total : 4.8%