Southampton vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.