Aston Villa

1 - 3

West Ham

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.