Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Southampton |
| 48.88% | 23.8% | 27.32% |
| Both teams to score 57.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.23% | 43.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.85% | 66.15% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.97% | 18.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.08% | 48.92% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% | 29.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.57% | 65.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.61% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-1 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.3% Total : 27.32% |