Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 24

Feb 14, 2021 at 4.30pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
4 - 2
Leeds

Aubameyang (13', 41' pen., 47'), Bellerin (45')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Struijk (58'), Costa (69')
Struijk (70'), Dallas (90+6')

Reaction

Arsenal captain Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang celebrates scoring against Newcastle on January 18, 2021

Mikel Arteta lavishes praise on Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

The Gunners striker's first start in six games saw him score a hat-trick as a spirited Leeds were beaten 4-2 at the Emirates Stadium.

Feb 14, 20:02

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Leeds United
48.1%	22.6%	29.3%

Both teams to score 63.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.25%

36.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.08%

58.92%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.33%

15.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.29%

44.71%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.5%

24.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.04%

58.96%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 48.1%

Leeds United 29.3%

Draw 22.59%

Arsenal	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 9.28% 1-0 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 5.73% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.89% Total : 48.1%	1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 3.84% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.59%	1-2 @ 7.04% 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.3%