Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 24

Feb 13, 2021 at 8pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
0 - 0
Aston Villa

Alzate (20'), Trossard (77')

Grealish (21'), Luiz (70'), Sanson (89')

Reaction

Tyrone Mings in action for Aston Villa on February 22, 2020

Tyrone Mings: 'We lacked intensity against Brighton & Hove Albion'

Dean Smith's men managed only four shots during the match.

Feb 14, 13:36

Brighton & Hove Albion's Alexis Mac Allister in action with Aston Villa's Emiliano Martinez in the Premier League on February 13, 2021

Dean Smith lauds Emi Martinez for "one-man-show" at Brighton

Emiliano Martinez made more saves than he had in any Premier League match previously at the Amex Stadium.

Feb 13, 23:30

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Aston Villa
38.19%	26.42%	35.38%

Both teams to score 52.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.96%

52.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.23%

73.76%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45%

26.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.24%

61.76%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81%

28.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.12%

63.88%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 38.19%

Aston Villa 35.38%

Draw 26.41%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.19%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.38%