Champions League

Champions League | Quarter-Finals

Apr 13, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
0 - 1
Porto

FT(HT: 0-0)

Taremi (90+4')
Oliveira (46'), Corona (74'), Pepe (82'), Diaz (88'), Taremi (90+5')

Reaction

Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel pictured on April 10, 2021

Thomas Tuchel: 'Champions League is incredibly open'

Chelsea lost 1-0 to Porto in Seville on Tuesday night but progressed to the last four 2-1 on aggregate.

Apr 14, 10:29

Thomas Tuchel dedicates CL semi-final to Mateo Kovacic

Chelsea's Croatia star suffered a hamstring injury in training, ruling him out of the Champions League clash with Porto and the FA Cup semi-final.

Apr 13, 22:43

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Porto had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Porto
39.91%	25.95%	34.14%

Both teams to score 54.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.81%

50.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.85%

72.15%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23%

24.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.66%

59.34%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94%

28.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.28%

63.72%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 39.91%

Porto 34.14%

Draw 25.94%

Chelsea	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.91%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.14%