Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Apr 3, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
2 - 1
Santa Clara

Oliveira (49' pen.), Martinez (90+5')
Manafa (53'), Leite (54'), Martinez (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carlos (56' pen.)
Pereira (47'), Carlos (73'), Nene (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 11.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.97%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Santa Clara
69.35%	19.59%	11.06%

Both teams to score 41.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.84%

50.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.88%

72.12%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.64%

13.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.74%

40.25%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.05%

51.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.03%

85.97%

Score Analysis

Porto 69.35%

Santa Clara 11.06%

Draw 19.59%

Porto	Draw	Santa Clara
2-0 @ 14.06% 1-0 @ 13.97% 3-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-1 @ 6.18% 4-0 @ 4.75% 4-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.02% 5-0 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.43% Total : 69.35%	1-1 @ 9.15% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 3.02% Other @ 0.48% Total : 19.59%	0-1 @ 4.55% 1-2 @ 3% 0-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.03% Total : 11.06%

How you voted: Porto vs Santa Clara

Porto

100%

Draw

0.0%

Santa Clara