Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 62.81% | 21.47% | 15.71% |
| Both teams to score 48.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.99% | 48.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% | 70.19% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.32% | 14.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.15% | 42.85% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.7% | 43.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.45% | 79.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% 2-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 6.26% 4-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.62% 5-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.26% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.37% Total : 62.8% | 1-1 @ 10.2% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.47% | 0-1 @ 5.32% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.23% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.71% |