Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 8.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.4%) and 0-3 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Porto |
| 8.84% | 18.66% | 72.49% |
| Both teams to score 36.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.65% | 52.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.96% | 74.04% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.13% | 57.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.48% | 89.52% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% | 13.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.28% | 39.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 4.15% 2-1 @ 2.31% 2-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.26% Total : 8.84% | 1-1 @ 8.43% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 2.34% Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.66% | 0-2 @ 15.65% 0-1 @ 15.4% 0-3 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 5.81% 0-4 @ 5.39% 1-4 @ 2.95% 0-5 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.12% Total : 72.48% |