Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 8.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.4%) and 0-3 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Porto |
8.84% | 18.66% | 72.49% |
Both teams to score 36.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.65% | 52.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.96% | 74.04% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.13% | 57.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.48% | 89.52% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.9% | 13.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.28% | 39.72% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.15% 2-1 @ 2.31% 2-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.26% Total : 8.84% | 1-1 @ 8.43% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 2.34% Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.66% | 0-2 @ 15.65% 0-1 @ 15.4% 0-3 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 5.81% 0-4 @ 5.39% 1-4 @ 2.95% 0-5 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.12% Total : 72.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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