Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Braga had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
| 33% | 27.22% | 39.77% |
| Both teams to score 49.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% | 55.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% | 76.75% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% | 31.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% | 67.85% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% | 27.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% | 62.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.9% Total : 33% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.77% |