Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Portimonense |
| 42.16% | 28.79% | 29.04% |
| Both teams to score 43.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.76% | 62.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.09% | 81.91% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% | 29.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.87% | 65.13% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.08% | 37.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.32% | 74.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 13.62% 2-0 @ 8.39% 2-1 @ 8.14% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.06% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.51% Total : 42.15% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.67% Total : 29.04% |