Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Jan 24, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
2 - 2
Portimonense

Martins (23'), Vitoria (35')
Soares (76'), Soares (88'), Galego (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Possignolo (16'), Dener (83')
Cande (81'), Beto (90+4')
Sergio (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Portimonense
37.74%	29.54%	32.71%

Both teams to score 43.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.2%

63.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.96%

83.04%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.41%

32.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.87%

69.13%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.02%

35.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.24%

72.76%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 37.74%

Portimonense 32.7%

Draw 29.53%

Moreirense	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 13.14% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.74%	1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.53%	0-1 @ 11.98% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.99% Total : 32.7%