Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 47.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Belenenses |
| 47.44% | 27.37% | 25.18% |
| Both teams to score 45.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.61% | 59.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.23% | 79.77% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% | 25.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.19% | 59.81% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.39% | 39.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.71% | 76.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% 2-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.2% Total : 47.44% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.41% Total : 25.18% |