Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Dec 27, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Cardoso (14')
Esgaio (23'), Cardoso (45+1'), Ribeiro (75')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Tomas (5'), Mario (24' pen.)
Adan (16'), Inacio (63'), Neto (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.35%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
15.27%	22.13%	62.59%

Both teams to score 45.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.57%

51.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.76%

73.24%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.03%

45.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.3%

81.69%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.1%

15.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.87%

45.12%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 15.27%

Sporting Lisbon 62.58%

Draw 22.13%

Belenenses	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.68% 2-1 @ 4.06% 2-0 @ 2.21% 3-1 @ 1.05% 3-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.27%	1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.13%	0-1 @ 13.43% 0-2 @ 12.35% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-3 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 5.89% 0-4 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-5 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.05% 1-5 @ 1% Other @ 1.92% Total : 62.58%