Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Nacional |
| 38.68% | 27.29% | 34.03% |
| Both teams to score 49.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.34% | 55.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.19% | 76.81% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% | 27.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.38% | 63.62% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% | 30.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.03% |