Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Dec 29, 2020 at 6pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
2 - 1
Portimonense

Nunez (13'), Silva (23')
Otamendi (40'), Waldschmidt (59'), Taarabt (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gilberto (90+2' og.)
Cande (30'), Willyan (34'), Moufi (54'), Beto (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 8.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.43%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Portimonense
77.85%	14.07%	8.07%

Both teams to score 48.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.78%

34.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.88%

56.12%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.9%

7.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.13%

25.87%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.38%

47.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.05%

82.94%

Score Analysis

Benfica 77.84%

Portimonense 8.07%

Draw 14.07%

Benfica	Draw	Portimonense
2-0 @ 11.82% 3-0 @ 10.43% 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 7.74% 4-0 @ 6.9% 4-1 @ 5.12% 5-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.87% 5-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.9% 6-0 @ 1.61% 6-1 @ 1.2% 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.17% Total : 77.84%	1-1 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.38% 2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.8% Total : 14.07%	0-1 @ 2.51% 1-2 @ 2.46% 0-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.17% Total : 8.07%