Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 35.47%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.18%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (12.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Belenenses |
| 35.47% | 29.84% | 34.68% |
| Both teams to score 42.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.39% | 64.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.38% | 83.62% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.5% | 34.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.78% | 71.21% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% | 35.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.22% | 71.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% 2-1 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.47% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.08% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.84% | 0-1 @ 12.67% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.17% Total : 34.68% |