Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | SC Farense |
| 34.42% | 28.09% | 37.49% |
| Both teams to score 47.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.35% | 58.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% | 79.2% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% | 32.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.44% | 68.56% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% | 30.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% | 66.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 11.59% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.48% |