Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Boavista |
| 43.35% | 28.21% | 28.45% |
| Both teams to score 45.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.49% | 60.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.37% | 80.63% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% | 27.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% | 63.28% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% | 37.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.78% | 74.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% 2-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 8.39% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.76% Total : 43.34% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.73% Total : 28.45% |