Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Moreirense

Benfica
2 - 0
Moreirense

Dias (20'), Seferovic (80')
Pizzi (30'), Almeida (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Moreirense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 8.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
BenficaDrawMoreirense
76.06%15.42%8.52%
Both teams to score 45.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65%39.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.31%61.7%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34%8.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.14%29.86%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.83%50.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.23%84.78%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 76.04%
    Moreirense 8.52%
    Draw 15.42%
BenficaDrawMoreirense
2-0 @ 13%
1-0 @ 10.63%
3-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 7.31%
4-0 @ 6.49%
4-1 @ 4.47%
5-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.52%
5-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.54%
6-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 76.04%
1-1 @ 7.33%
0-0 @ 4.35%
2-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 15.42%
0-1 @ 3%
1-2 @ 2.53%
0-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 8.52%