Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | SC Farense |
| 39.34% | 26.8% | 33.86% |
| Both teams to score 51.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% | 53.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.75% | 75.25% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% | 26.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% | 61.99% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% | 30% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% | 66.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 6.98% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.86% |