Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Jul 11, 2020 at 7.15pm UK

Estadio Nacional do Jamor

Belenenses
0 - 1
Moreirense

Esgaio (32'), Henrique (61'), Cafumana (89'), Silva (90+10')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Santos (50')
Abreu (81'), Pasinato (90+3')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Moreirense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moreirense in this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Moreirense
28.22%	27.86%	43.92%

Both teams to score 46.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.56%

59.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19%

79.8%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.97%

37.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.18%

73.82%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.1%

26.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.77%

62.22%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 28.22%

Moreirense 43.92%

Draw 27.86%

Belenenses	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.79% Total : 28.22%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 13.08% 0-2 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-3 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.23% 1-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.92% Total : 43.92%