Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
| 44.54% | 27.18% | 28.28% |
| Both teams to score 47.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43% | 56.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.11% | 77.89% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% | 25.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% | 60.29% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% | 35.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.57% | 72.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.54% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.01% Total : 28.28% |