Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.02%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 7.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.44%) and 1-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Belenenses |
| 79.02% | 13.94% | 7.04% |
| Both teams to score 43.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% | 37.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.93% | 60.07% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.35% | 7.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.68% | 27.32% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.17% | 52.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.46% | 86.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Belenenses |
| 2-0 @ 13.35% 3-0 @ 11.44% 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 8.52% 4-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 7.3% 4-1 @ 4.69% 5-0 @ 3.78% 5-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.33% 6-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.5% 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.28% Total : 79.01% | 1-1 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 4.04% 2-2 @ 2.72% Other @ 0.55% Total : 13.94% | 0-1 @ 2.58% 1-2 @ 2.12% Other @ 2.34% Total : 7.04% |