Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Oct 18, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
0 - 3
Benfica

Pinto (81')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Waldschmidt (6', 45+4'), Gabriel (84')
Gilberto (78'), Otamendi (80'), Weigl (90+2')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Benfica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 2-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Benfica
16.3%	20.17%	63.53%

Both teams to score 53.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.77%

41.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.38%

63.62%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.57%

38.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.82%

75.18%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.67%

12.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.85%

38.14%

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 16.3%

Benfica 63.53%

Draw 20.17%

Rio Ave	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 4.54% 1-0 @ 4.53% 2-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.51% 3-1 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.1% Total : 16.3%	1-1 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.75% 0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.17%	0-2 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-1 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 6.93% 0-4 @ 3.79% 1-4 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 3.31% 2-4 @ 1.73% 0-5 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.57% Total : 63.53%