Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 65.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Belenenses |
65.99% | 20.57% | 13.44% |
Both teams to score 45.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.25% | 48.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.15% | 70.85% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.06% | 13.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.61% | 41.39% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.97% | 47.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.49% | 82.51% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Belenenses |
1-0 @ 12.91% 2-0 @ 12.72% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 6.31% 4-0 @ 4.12% 4-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.45% Total : 65.98% | 1-1 @ 9.74% 0-0 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.66% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.94% 1-2 @ 3.68% 0-2 @ 1.87% 1-3 @ 0.92% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.12% Total : 13.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |