Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 11.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Belenenses |
| 71.08% | 17.62% | 11.31% |
| Both teams to score 48.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.02% | 40.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.63% | 63.37% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.73% | 10.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.36% | 33.64% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.36% | 45.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.56% | 81.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Belenenses |
| 2-0 @ 12.14% 1-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 9.21% 3-1 @ 7.23% 4-0 @ 5.24% 4-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.83% 5-0 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.61% 6-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.34% Total : 71.07% | 1-1 @ 8.37% 0-0 @ 4.69% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.83% Total : 17.62% | 0-1 @ 3.68% 1-2 @ 3.28% 0-2 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 11.31% |