Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 11.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Belenenses |
71.08% | 17.62% | 11.31% |
Both teams to score 48.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.02% | 40.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.63% | 63.37% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.73% | 10.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.36% | 33.64% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.36% | 45.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.56% | 81.44% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Belenenses |
2-0 @ 12.14% 1-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 9.21% 3-1 @ 7.23% 4-0 @ 5.24% 4-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.83% 5-0 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.61% 6-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.34% Total : 71.07% | 1-1 @ 8.37% 0-0 @ 4.69% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.83% Total : 17.62% | 0-1 @ 3.68% 1-2 @ 3.28% 0-2 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 11.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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