Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Jul 1, 2020 at 7pm UK

Estadio Nacional do Jamor

Belenenses
1 - 1
Tondela

Cassierra (39')
Phete (28'), Coelho (49'), Esgaio (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jeronimo (9')
Moufi (23'), Richard (48'), Jaquite (51'), Alves (74')
Jaquite (53')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Tondela.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Tondela
34.74%	28.54%	36.72%

Both teams to score 46.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.75%

60.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.57%

80.43%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.3%

32.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.75%

69.24%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58%

31.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21%

67.79%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 34.74%

Tondela 36.72%

Draw 28.54%

Belenenses	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.74%	1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.54%	0-1 @ 11.89% 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.72%