Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

Jul 19, 2020 at 9.15pm UK

Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Maritimo

Edwards (24')
Venancio (44'), Poha (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

China (54'), Pelagio (65'), Rene (71'), Nanu (83')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Maritimo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Maritimo
57.5%	24.66%	17.83%

Both teams to score 43.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.09%

56.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.18%

77.82%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28%

19.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.26%

51.74%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.12%

45.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.37%

81.63%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.5%

Maritimo 17.83%

Draw 24.66%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 14.69% 2-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 9.29% 3-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 5.03% 4-0 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.5% Total : 57.5%	1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 9.05% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 7.05% 1-2 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.48% Total : 17.83%

Guimaraes1 - 0Maritimo

Data Analysis

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Guimaraes
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