Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 51.11% | 23.73% | 25.16% |
| Both teams to score 56.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% | 45.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% | 67.53% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% | 17.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.62% | 48.37% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% | 31.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% | 68.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 5.58% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.67% Total : 51.11% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.46% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.16% |