Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 57.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.31% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%) , while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.