Europa League
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cho Kyu-Sung 17' goal
  • Junior Brumado 41' yellowcard
  • Cho Kyu-Sung 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yaimar Medina 27'
  • yellowcard 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Thorsten Fink 90'+1'

FC Midtjylland vs Genk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 5.45pm
Roma 2 - 1 Midtjylland

Genk

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 8.00pm
Genk 2 - 1 Basel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Genk had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

FC Midtjylland 46.45%
Draw 23.74%
Genk 29.81%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.89%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.13%
Under 2.5 41.87%
Over 3.5 35.73%
Under 3.5 64.27%
Over 4.5 18.81%
Under 4.5 81.18%

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5 81.74%
Under 0.5 18.25%
Over 1.5 50.7%
Under 1.5 49.3%

Genk Goals

Over 0.5 73.26%
Under 0.5 26.73%
Over 1.5 38%
Under 1.5 62%

Score analysis

FC Midtjylland 46.45%
Draw 23.73%
Genk 29.81%
FC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.48%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 46.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.73%
Genk
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-1 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.81%