Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Genk had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.