Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.7%) and 1-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (6.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.