Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (9.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.