Union SG Union SG
2-3
Marseille

FT(HT: 1-2)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Union SG and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

Last Game: Charleroi 1-1 Union SG
Sunday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Next Game: Union SG vs. Zulte
Saturday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Marseille

Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Monaco
Sunday, December 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Bourg-Peronnas vs. Marseille
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Union SG win was 2-1 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Marseille
35.71%	24.7%	39.58%

Both teams to score 58.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.64%

44.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.26%

66.74%

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62%

24.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.22%

58.78%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.65%

22.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.16%

55.83%

Score Analysis

Union SG 35.72%

Marseille 39.58%

Draw 24.7%

Union SG	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 8.13% 1-0 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.95% Total : 35.72%	1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 8.63% 0-1 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 4.31% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.58%