Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 (7.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.