Europa League
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Flavius Daniliuc 34' goal
  • Leo Leroy 72' yellowcard
  • Philip Otele 80' yellowcard
  • goal Evann Guessand 12'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 17'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Buendia 35'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 53'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 84'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 87'
  • yellowcard 87'

Basel vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 8.00pm
Genk 2 - 1 Basel

Aston Villa

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 5.45pm
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Young Boys

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Basel 43.72%
Draw 24.01%
Aston Villa 32.26%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.22%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.01%
Under 2.5 41.99%
Over 3.5 35.61%
Under 3.5 64.39%
Over 4.5 18.72%
Under 4.5 81.28%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 80.57%
Under 0.5 19.43%
Over 1.5 48.74%
Under 1.5 51.26%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 74.75%
Under 0.5 25.25%
Over 1.5 40%
Under 1.5 60%

Score analysis

Basel 43.73%
Draw 24.01%
Aston Villa 32.26%
Basel
2-1 @ 9.06%
1-0 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 43.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.01%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-1 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 4.65%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 32.26%

Build-up

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