Aston Villa vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.